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Straight Forecasts,Explanation of Straight Forecasts,Tote Exactas,Perms and Bets.
Computer Straight Forecasts,or Exactas if you bet on the Tote,are a good way to bet small on the horses but with the chance to win big - particularly if you bet in forecast doubles.
This article will explain the best tactics and how to perm your forecasts doubles wether having 2 straight,reversed or even different number of selections in each race. How Many Forecasts for Number of Selections ? It very is simple if you want to work how many forecasts for the number of selections you make. You may need to know how to work out doubles - read our page Work out Doubles Trebles page. Simply multiply the number of pairs(doubles)in your selections by 2. 2 selections is 1 bet,or 2 if reversed forecast. 3 selections is 3 pairs times 2 = 6 reversed straight forecasts. 4 selections is 6 pairs times 2 = 12 reversed straight forecasts. 5 selections is 10 pairs times 2 = 20 reversed straight forecasts 6 selections is 15 pairs times 2 = 30 reversed straight forecasts. And so on,the number of pairs,or doubles in the number of selections multiplied by 2. Bet Small on Tote Exactas - Never Do Forecast Doubles on Tote.Firstly,never do forecast doubles on the Tote Exacta(some betting shops will accept these bets)as any large amounts running for you will be added to the pool and completely wiping out the chances of a decent win. I would go further,and if you bet in even small amounts like £5 or £6 on the Tote Exacta you should expect smaller wins as your own bets limit your own payout - the Tote pools for many meetings are very small these days. Some Exacta Dividends look great,but take a look at how few people actually are in the share out - your £5 or £10 bet would have decimated the dividend if you had been lucky enough to solve the outcome.
Larger Bets and Forecast Doubles must Be Computer Straight Forecasts.At first glance Computer Straight Forecasts look less attractive than those Tote Exactas,but as explained above they are not so good if you actually win them. At least you have a rough idea what you will get from Computer Straight Forecasts - multiplied odds less deductions using a complex formula involving number of runners,prices of favourites,price of runner up and other calculations. However they are always roughly multiplied odds less about 10% or a little more - but,and this is the crucial point - you will get that dividend no matter how much you have staked,or how much is running on in forecast double bets. Older readers will remember "the little owl affair " which ended what was a punters paradise when full multiplied odds were paid for straight forecasts - no matter how many runners. So,shrewd punters bet in 3 or 4 runner steeplechase races hoping the odds on favourite fell and the forecast contained 2 outsiders which gave the backers a huge payout. The bookmakers tolerated these bets until Little Owl,a long odds on favourite fell ln 3 runner race leaving the bookies with huge liabilities - again !. So,the formula was changed and while it is not such a good bet,the Computer Straight Forecast is still the best option. Perm your Forecast Singles.Its surprising the number of punters who have a fairly hefty forecast on the first 2 in the betting in a race and have just one bet. There's no profit in that and the Computer Straight Forecast formula also penalises these favourite bettors with lower payout. Better to have a number of straight forecasts,including some outsiders when the payout will be much bigger - bigger payout means smaller bet so you can have more wagers. Reversed forecasts are ok,but i always like the second in a forecast to be larger than the winner - this happens much more often if you think about it. So,2 straight singles with say the first 2 in the betting and one selection - an outsider to come second to both the 2 fancied horses. Many punters do this now,but tend to do full cover 6 forecasts - in my opinion you are throwing 4 bets away - better to have more on with just 2 bets. Often you will see the favourites finish 1and 2,but the payout will anyway be small. More irritating is when you see the 33/1 outsider you wanted to come second beat your favourite and you lose again - but this happens rarely,and console your self thinking about all the money you saved on those full cover forecasts you may have thrown away in the past. Also there is no reason why you have just 2 forecasts in a race as you will be avoiding the smallest dividends,so 3 4 or even more forecasts will show you a profit. Perm your Computer Straight Forecast Doubles. This is where forecasts can get really profitable and exciting - for very small stakes. To understand this you will need to know how to calculate the number of doubles in multiple selections - look at another article of mine if not sure - Work Out Doubles To select a correct forecast is hard - to get a forecast double is even harder ! However the returns are so high it is worth perservering,but prepare for long barren spells. Because it is hard to get a forecast double - do lots of them at small stakes. By that i mean as many as 10 races - which is 45 doubles - at 10p,and that is a budget bet by anybodys standards,with big profit potential. Some punters go further and have even more races with forecast doubles as low as 1 penny. The point i make is get lots of selections and the stakes may be small,but the payouts can be astronomical. Why not Have multiple selections,or reversed forecasts in your Forecast Doubles ? Again you need to understand how to work out perms for betting and these are all explained on Work Out Doubles Lets use the 10 race strategy for forecast doubles - the ideal number in my opinion. As you know 10 races has 45 doubles - same for forecasts - 45 forecast double. Why not reverse those forecasts,or even better in my experience,2 separate straight forecasts. So now you have 2 forecast selections each race. So each of those 45 doubles now has 4 outcomes(2 times 2). Your bet is now 45 times 4 = 180 forecast doubles. Same principle whatever your bet - example 8 selections is 28 doubles. 2 forecasts in those 8 races is again 28 times 4 = 112 forecast doubles. Put a banker bet in Straight Forecast Doubles. Its easy if you have the same number of forecasts in each race as explained above. A bit trickier if you do different numbers in each race but just work down manually. Lets say you have one straight forecast on just one race and reverse forecasts in another 3. You know the number of doubles in 3 and you know you need to multiply that by 4. So,those 3 races with 2 selections will be 12 forecast doubles (3 times 4). But you bet in 4 races. All you need to do is throw those 2 bet races onto the banker race. So,1 bet in banker,2 bets in 3 races (1 times 2 times 3 )= 6 bets. Add this to the 12 already calculated which makes a total of 18 bets. Another Example of Bankers in Straight Forecast Doubles. Lets make this harder - but just work methodically and it is not so difficult. 2 bankers in race and reversed(or 2 straight bets) in 5 races. 7 races in all,but still easy to work out. You know that 5 races have 2 forecasts. You also know now that 5 selections has 10 doubles (10 times 4) = 40 Forecast doubles. That leaves the other 2 races that have bankers. So,2 bankers going on to 5 races that have 2 outcomes each. Remember you now have 2 bankers unlike above bet so that means(2 times 2 times 5) = 20 Forecast bets. Add this to the 40 forecasts for 2 bet races to the 20 concerning bankers = 60 Forecast Doubles. Same principle all other banker bets in forecast doubles. How to Work Out Your Winnings on straight forecast doubles,and Trebles. This will explain how to work out your winning forecast doubles or trebles - by calculator or if you really want to know - manually. Years ago when managing a betting shop punters could even then bet in forecast doubles and trebles - as a matter of fact those bets were probably more popular then than they are now. Also appreciate that this is before computers and even before calculators were around - everything had to be done by mental arithmatic - its quite easy and will do manual bets alongside calculator explanations. Lets do a straight forecast double by calculator and manually. CALCULATOR - We will use complicated and big forecasts to show how easy it is. You have a forecast double - £31.28 and £17.39 To work out your winnings just multiply them out 31.28 times 17.39 = 543.95 That is of course to £1(or any currency it does not matter,it works just the same). Maybe you had the double to 10p - simple !. Just multiply out 31.28 times 17.39 times .10(.10 is of course one tenth of pound - 10p) So,31.28 times 17.39 times .10 = £54.39 for a 10p forecast double. MANUALLY - You don't want to be doing big multiplications manually in a busy betting shop,so this is how we did it. Look at the dividends. £31.28 forecast going on to £17.39. Reduce smallest forecast down to one tenth(you have bet for 10p) So dividends are now £31.28 and £1.74(you have reduced to nearest penny to make as accurate as possible) £1.74 going on to £31.28 You know £1 pays £31.28 - SUB TOTAL THAT. Next unit is .50p so that is half of above £15.64 - SUB TOTAL THAT You know from above .50 pays £15.64 so .20 will pay £6.26 - SUB TOTAL THAT You know £1 pays £31.28 so 01 pays .31 times 4 = £1.25 - SUB TOTAL THAT. YOUR SUB TOTALS = £31.28 + £15.64 + £6.26 + £1.25 = £54.43 - slightly out by 04p,but good enough for a £54.43 payout. Lets do another straight forecast double - dividends £18.45 and £58.90. CALCULATOR 18.45 times 58.90 = £1086.70 for £1 - times .5 for 50p and .10 for 10p,.01 for 1p and so on. 10 p forecast double = £108.67 - Penny forecast double = £10.87. MANUALLY for 10 p again. Reduce 18.45 to 1.845 Just work through that reduced forecast through larger forecast as before. £ 1 = £58.90 - SUB TOTAL THAT You know what £1 pays so .8 will pay(£5.89 times 8) = £47.12 - SUB TOTAL THAT. You know what .10 pays so .04 will pay £2.36 - SUB TOTAL THAT. Need to go extra digit to be accurate - use that .005 which is half of above £0.30 - SUB TOTAL So,sub totals added - £58.90 + £47.12 + £2.36 + £0.30 = £108.68. Maybe You Have 3 Successful Straight Forecasts - 3 Forecast Doubles. If you are lucky enough to get 3 forecasts you now have 3 doubles - still easy to work out. Lets have random dividends £14.67 - £29.67 and £11.22. Just do first 2 in forecast double as explained above 14.67 times 29.67 = 435.26 SUB TOTAL Thats your first double done. Now simply add first 2 forecasts together and multiply that total with 3rd forecast. So,14.67 PLUS 29.67 TIMES 11.22 = 497.50 SUB TOTAL. Add 2 subtotals = £932.76 - this is of course for £1 - multiply as explained above to get payout for smaller units. You can do these manually as explained above,same procedures. How to Work Out Straight Forecast Trebles and Above. Exactly the same as doubles,just one step further. So,you have forecast treble for .05 - dividends £12.56 - £7.56 and £10.92. 12.56 times 7.56 times 10.92 times .05(you have bet to 5p) = £51.84 Simple as that ! By Pendil at SAFE BOOKMAKERS SITES.İThis article can be reproduced by anyone,so long as article is reproduced full and intact with all links unchanged.End of article. |
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